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Another Exploration into the PFD: Part 1

If you haven’t been following along, the amount of the Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) isn’t just a matter of calculating the earnings anymore. For the last 4 years, the legislature has moved away from using the traditional formula and has begun determining how much to distribute based on what it […]

The Official FY19 Oil Production Numbers are in

The Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (AOGCC), the state agency which tracks oil production across Alaska, has released the last of the FY19 oil production data. All production companies are required to report the amount of oil, gas, and water they take out of the ground to AOGCC each […]

Alaska by the Numbers – July 2019

Here is your monthly update on how things are going in Alaska’s economy. Read on for some of the headlines and highlights from July 2019. The Governor Vetoed the Budget It would be hard to imagine that you’re reading this article without knowing about the veto situation. But, just in […]

Alaska Might Be Benefiting from Oil Sanctions

Alaska North Slope (ANS) oil has been selling at a premium to Brent for nearly a year, and we are seeing millions of dollars of added benefit as a result. The mostly likely cause is oil sanctions on Iran and Venezuela. Let’s explore the situation. Refinery Inputs Each refinery is […]

Fighting Over Invisible Milk

In the event you have been hiking the Brooks Range for the last six months, let me briefly get you up to speed. We have a fairly serious battle going on in Alaska right now. By way of an oil price crash a few years ago, we’ve burned through all […]

Jobs Forecast Challenge: Me vs ISER

On Monday, ISER gave a presentation that suggested the vetoes would cost the economy 4,217 jobs and would send the State whirling back into a recession. I disagree. While it’s ok for us to have different ideas, only one of us will be right. Unfortunately, most people don’t care to […]

Guess Where Alaska Stands in the Oil Race

Back in the 1980’s Alaska was a powerhouse in the oil market. At the time, our young oil fields were the envy of our peers. Texas production was falling, approaching 2 million barrels per day from above as Alaska approached the same mark from below. Briefly, Alaska challenged Texas as […]

Alaska by the Numbers – FY19 Closing Edition

Now that my work with the new administration is done, I’m back to providing you with some light reading. Here’s your monthly breakdown of the things that I’ve been watching in Alaska’s Economy. Although, seeing as today is the first day of the new fiscal year, this edition provides insight […]

What’s Up with that 21%?

This week’s article is inspired by a question that came up during the Bicameral Working Group on the PFD hearing a few days ago. It centers on a portion of the PFD calculation. Here’s the gist: Under the current law, the sum of the earnings over the last five years […]

The 3 Opposing Views of the PFD

The legislature is currently debating the future of Alaska’s Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD). The operating budget has passed, without a PFD. A separate appropriation bill for the PFD has failed on the Senate floor. The House minority tried to stuff the PFD into the capital budget, but didn’t have the […]