Juneau, Alaska

(907) 699-6788 ed.king@kingecon.com

Tag: PFD

Fixing Alaska’s Investment Earnings Paradox

I wrote a piece a few weeks back about how Alaska’s current investment earnings laws don’t work together. They create a paradox in which the budget deficit gets smaller if investment earnings get worse. In the extreme, we could balance the budget by losing $7 billion in the stock market. […]

What Will the New Decade Bring for Alaska?

If you were on social media at all last week, you probably got your fill of reflections, resolutions, and predictions. Everyone wants to talk about what happened in 2019 and what 2020 will bring. But, we didn’t just turn the calendar this year – we changed decades. So, just for […]

Alaska By The Numbers – December 2019

Now that the holidays are over, it’s time to turn our attention back to Alaska’s financial problems. Here are some of the highlights of what happened in December 2019. The Governor Released His FY21 Budget Proposal The governor rolled out his proposed FY21 budget on December 11th. To the surprise […]

Alaska Has an Investment Return Paradox

Over the last five years, Alaska has pivoted from being a Petro-state to a Trust Fund kid. Thanks to years of saving and re-investing a quarter of our oil royalties, we now have over $66 billion in the bank. And, those billions of dollars go to work every day, bringing […]

Adding Uncertainty to Those 7 PFD Changes: PFD – Part 6

In this final article on the PFD, let’s explore how uncertainty changes the conclusions we arrived at in Part 5. Today, we will insert alternate projections into the model. From there, we can see how much the outcomes change. To keep this from getting out of hand, I’m only looking […]

7 Circulating Ideas that Change the PFD – PFD: Part 4

We spent last month exploring some of the dynamics of Alaska’s Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD). We looked at a hypothetical perspective of equal partnership between the People and the Government. Then we evaluated how the numbers we see today are influenced by decisions from our past. In part 3, we took […]

Alaska By the Numbers – August 2019

A lot happened in Alaska during the month of August. Here’s the run down on how we read the headlines. BP and Hilcorp Agreed to Terms on Alaska Assets The news that broke the internet in Alaska last week was a press release from BP. They announced that they were […]

PFD Part 3: The “It’s Our Oil” Perspective

One of the ways that Alaska is unique was created right from the beginning of our entry into the Union. When Alaska was granted statehood in 1959, we received a 103 million acre land grant from the Federal Government. As the first state created after the Mineral Leasing Act was […]

PFD Part 2: Breaking Down that $3,000 PFD

Last week we explored a hypothetical dynamic equity model for the PFD. Of course, the Government and the People are not actually business partners. They are two sides to the same coin. So, let’s drop the differentiation for now. This week, let’s simply explore how the current PFD calculation would […]

Another Exploration into the PFD: Part 1

If you haven’t been following along, the amount of the Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) isn’t just a matter of calculating the earnings anymore. For the last 4 years, the legislature has moved away from using the traditional formula and has begun determining how much to distribute based on what it […]