A First Look at FY20 Oil Production
The Alaska Department of Natural Resources should be done with its production forecast. Over the next few weeks, The Department of Revenue will insert that forecast into their revenue model and discuss things with treasury, the APFC, and OMB. Ultimately, they will publish the Revenue Sources Book along with the […]
What Will GMT1 Produce For The State Budget?
ConocoPhillips Alaska did a great job of getting the first Greater Moose’s Tooth (GMT1) development into production, ahead of schedule and under budget. We are all excited to have the new oil flowing. It signals the beginning of another renaissance for the North Slope. But, the oil is coming from […]
Are ConocoPhillips Profits Really Highest in Alaska?
On July 31st, 2018, ConocoPhillips released its second quarter 2018 10-Q, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). A couple weeks later, the Legislative Research group released a table which showed the production levels and net income that the ConocoPhillips filing reported. The table also included a […]
Did SB21 Cause Our Budget Problems?
I recently saw a social media post that said something to the effect of “the reason the State is broke is because of the oil tax giveaway back in 2013.” At the same time, I see pro-industry ads talking about how the same tax reform has led to an increase […]
The Alaska Recession – By the Numbers
We peg the beginning of the Alaska recession at October of 2015. That is the point we identify as when the general economy began a downward trajectory. Prior to October 2015, we can identify some leading indicators that the economy was in trouble. But the data doesn’t show the economy […]
Don’t Listen to Sound-Bites, Oil Production is Up
If a bat and a ball cost $1.10 together, and the bat costs $1 more than the ball, how much does a ball cost? This is a classic riddle. I’m assuming you’ve seen it before. If you’re like most people, your mind quickly came up with $0.10 for the ball. […]
How Profitable Was Alaska’s North Slope?
In 1977, the monumental achievement known as the Trans-Alaska Pipeline System (TAPS) was completed. It was the largest, most complex, and most expensive engineering feat of its time. As we celebrate its 40th birthday, we hear heart warming stories about the construction days, we remember the blood, sweat, and tears […]