Juneau, Alaska

(907) 699-6788 ed.king@kingecon.com

Government

Fixing Alaska’s Investment Earnings Paradox

I wrote a piece a few weeks back about how Alaska’s current investment earnings laws don’t work together. They create a paradox in which the budget deficit gets smaller if investment earnings get worse. In the extreme, we could balance the budget by losing $7 billion in the stock market. […]

Alaska Has an Investment Return Paradox

Over the last five years, Alaska has pivoted from being a Petro-state to a Trust Fund kid. Thanks to years of saving and re-investing a quarter of our oil royalties, we now have over $66 billion in the bank. And, those billions of dollars go to work every day, bringing […]

Adding Uncertainty to Those 7 PFD Changes: PFD – Part 6

In this final article on the PFD, let’s explore how uncertainty changes the conclusions we arrived at in Part 5. Today, we will insert alternate projections into the model. From there, we can see how much the outcomes change. To keep this from getting out of hand, I’m only looking […]

Comparing the 7 Ideas to Change the PFD – PFD Part 5

Last week, I laid out the ideas that seem to pop up whenever conversations turn to the Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD). Please refer back to that article for descriptions of these alternatives. This week, I want to attach some numbers onto those ideas. Please remember that I am not advocating […]

7 Circulating Ideas that Change the PFD – PFD: Part 4

We spent last month exploring some of the dynamics of Alaska’s Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD). We looked at a hypothetical perspective of equal partnership between the People and the Government. Then we evaluated how the numbers we see today are influenced by decisions from our past. In part 3, we took […]

PFD Part 3: The “It’s Our Oil” Perspective

One of the ways that Alaska is unique was created right from the beginning of our entry into the Union. When Alaska was granted statehood in 1959, we received a 103 million acre land grant from the Federal Government. As the first state created after the Mineral Leasing Act was […]

PFD Part 2: Breaking Down that $3,000 PFD

Last week we explored a hypothetical dynamic equity model for the PFD. Of course, the Government and the People are not actually business partners. They are two sides to the same coin. So, let’s drop the differentiation for now. This week, let’s simply explore how the current PFD calculation would […]

Another Exploration into the PFD: Part 1

If you haven’t been following along, the amount of the Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) isn’t just a matter of calculating the earnings anymore. For the last 4 years, the legislature has moved away from using the traditional formula and has begun determining how much to distribute based on what it […]

Fighting Over Invisible Milk

In the event you have been hiking the Brooks Range for the last six months, let me briefly get you up to speed. We have a fairly serious battle going on in Alaska right now. By way of an oil price crash a few years ago, we’ve burned through all […]

What’s Up with that 21%?

This week’s article is inspired by a question that came up during the Bicameral Working Group on the PFD hearing a few days ago. It centers on a portion of the PFD calculation. Here’s the gist: Under the current law, the sum of the earnings over the last five years […]