Juneau, Alaska

(907) 699-6788 ed.king@kingecon.com

PFD

The Death of the Permanent Fund Dividend

Alaska is blessed with natural beauty and natural resources. In many ways, our State is the envy of governments around the world. People from outside spend thousands of dollars to enjoy what we see every day. Meanwhile, we pay no income or sales tax, plus receive a dividend check each […]

Flattening the Recession Curve

You’ve probably heard the phrase “flatten the curve” quite a bit over the last month. It’s been popular when talking about the current pandemic. Economists use a similar model, except that we want money to pass from person to person as fast as possible. The tie between epidemiology and economics […]

Analyzing HB306 (the PFD bill)

The leadership of the Alaska House of Representatives introduced a piece of legislation on March 5th that would fundamentally change the Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD). The House Finance Committee will be taking up the bill this week. If you would like to provide your thoughts on the bill, public testimony […]

Fixing Alaska’s Investment Earnings Paradox

I wrote a piece a few weeks back about how Alaska’s current investment earnings laws don’t work together. They create a paradox in which the budget deficit gets smaller if investment earnings get worse. In the extreme, we could balance the budget by losing $7 billion in the stock market. […]

Alaska Has an Investment Return Paradox

Over the last five years, Alaska has pivoted from being a Petro-state to a Trust Fund kid. Thanks to years of saving and re-investing a quarter of our oil royalties, we now have over $66 billion in the bank. And, those billions of dollars go to work every day, bringing […]

Adding Uncertainty to Those 7 PFD Changes: PFD – Part 6

In this final article on the PFD, let’s explore how uncertainty changes the conclusions we arrived at in Part 5. Today, we will insert alternate projections into the model. From there, we can see how much the outcomes change. To keep this from getting out of hand, I’m only looking […]

Comparing the 7 Ideas to Change the PFD – PFD Part 5

Last week, I laid out the ideas that seem to pop up whenever conversations turn to the Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD). Please refer back to that article for descriptions of these alternatives. This week, I want to attach some numbers onto those ideas. Please remember that I am not advocating […]

7 Circulating Ideas that Change the PFD – PFD: Part 4

We spent last month exploring some of the dynamics of Alaska’s Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD). We looked at a hypothetical perspective of equal partnership between the People and the Government. Then we evaluated how the numbers we see today are influenced by decisions from our past. In part 3, we took […]

PFD Part 3: The “It’s Our Oil” Perspective

One of the ways that Alaska is unique was created right from the beginning of our entry into the Union. When Alaska was granted statehood in 1959, we received a 103 million acre land grant from the Federal Government. As the first state created after the Mineral Leasing Act was […]

PFD Part 2: Breaking Down that $3,000 PFD

Last week we explored a hypothetical dynamic equity model for the PFD. Of course, the Government and the People are not actually business partners. They are two sides to the same coin. So, let’s drop the differentiation for now. This week, let’s simply explore how the current PFD calculation would […]